Naturally, these percentages translate to the respective chances of winning Pass odds and Don’t pass odds bets. Probability of point number being rolled first Here is the probability of the point numbers being rolled before a seven: You will notice that the probability of rolling any individual point number is lower than that of rolling a seven.
This means that on the come-out roll, a player has a 22.22% chance of rolling a natural (seven or 11), an 11.12% chance of crapping out (rolling two, three and 12) and a 66.66% chance of rolling a point number. The next two most likely are six and eight followed by five and nine and so on, reducing in probability as you move further away from seven lower and higher respectively. The best place to start in determining the odds involved in Craps is assessing the probability of getting any given number from a dice roll featuring two six-sided dice:Īs you can see, the most likely dice roll is a seven, which will occur on six of the 36 possible combinations from the two dice.